Archive for April, 2008

Interest Rates and the Forex: Attention Carry Traders - Watch Those Interest Rates!

By Jason Fielder

The national interest rate report is one of the five most important economic reports to the Forex market that is released by the government. In the United States this is the Fed Funds Rate, and is by far and away the most important interest rate when considering the impact it will have on the US Dollar in the Forex market.

This rate is the rate that banks and other similar institutions charge each other for over night loans. Often the interest rate will be changed when the governing body hopes to have a specific impact on some part of the economy. Often times when a government wants to “jump start” an economy, they will cut the interest rate.

Interest rates have a very direct effect on the Forex market. An increase in interest rates encourages traders to invest in that nation’’s market and also causes the demand for currency to rise.

As the demand for a currency rises, traders are willing to pay more and more for the currency, causing that currency to rise in value. The higher interest rates will also attract Forex traders who love to practice the carry trade, since a higher interest rate there will mean more day to day appreciation on their money.

A fall in interest rates will also affect the Forex market. In general, a fall in interest rates will discourage traders from investing in that economy since the return on investment is smaller, and this can have a cumulative effect as carry traders look for a more profitable interest rate on other currency pairs. Usually this means the currency will decline in value.

Part of the reason this especially affects currency value is because many Forex traders love the carry trade, in which they earn interest on a long term trade. A change in interest rates can cause Forex traders to flee to (or from) a currency pair, affecting the value of both.

Any time there is going to be an announcement regarding a change in interest rates, you should definitely pay attention. Each nation usually has a set time when they make such announcements, and will let traders and investors know ahead of time that a change of some kind is coming.

Every change is worth paying attention to, because it is definitely going to affect the market in the short term, and maybe even long term.

Watching the interest rate fluctuations is not only good fundamental analysis of the Forex market, but it’’s just plain old common sense, as well.

About The Author

And now I would like to offer you free access to a Forex trading system that is 89.1% accurate, so you can literally start trading the Forex today. You can access it now by going to: http://www.foreximpact.com/reports/89percent/

Jason Fielder - Founder, Forex Impact

Forex Trading - An Introduction Into A World Wide Market

By Corbin Newlyn

It is crucial to be aware of specific issues happening in the world, particularly if they have the potential to offer benefits, such as Forex trading. Essentially, the Forex market is a non-stop cash market where currencies of various nations are traded. It is somewhat similar to a stock market, with Forex trading these foreign currencies are continually being bought and sold throughout both local and global markets.

There are numerous rewards that are extended to private and potential investors within Forex trading, including a giant liquid market making it simple to trade the majority of currencies, volatile markets offering numerous profit opportunities, the capability to profit from both rising and falling markets, and leveraged trading with low margin requirements.

The Details

When it comes to Forex trading, one of the most significant things to bear in mind is what the basic investor’’s goal is here. Simply speaking, the goal is to make a profit from movements in foreign currency. When trading currencies it is crucial that an investor only make trades when they have an expectation the currency that they are purchasing to increase in value relative to the currency that they will be selling, otherwise there no gain will result.

The exchange rates are continually fluctuating in Forex trading and it is important for all investors to remain on top of these types of changes and be mindful of them. There are numerous resources that are available to help in this regard, both on the internet as well as off, and any of these will really work well provided that they are continually being updated and not just once a day.

The Differences

There are numerous important differences when comparing Forex trading and other stock market trading. Firstly, unlike the trading of basic stocks, futures or options, this kind of currency trading does not happen on a regulated exchange. It is not regulated by any governing body and so there is a great deal more freedom with this specific kind of trading.

Forex is the biggest financial market throughout the world and the retail Forex market is strictly a speculative market and investors need to be mindful of this. There are no physical exchanges of currencies actually ever taking place, but instead all trades that are placed here exist merely as entries in a computer and are then netted out dependant upon the market price.

Forex is decidedly a market worth looking into, though it is crucial that any possible investor first be trained and aware on what it necessitates and what is expected of them here. Otherwise significant loss will in all likelihood result.

About The Author

Listen to Corbin Newlyn as he shares his insights as an expert author and an avid writer in the field of finance and investment. If you would like to learn more go to http://www.fxpreferred.com/ and at http://www.fxpreferred.com/tips-on-devising-your-own-forex-trading-system/

What Is The Best Time Of The Day To Trade Forex?

By James Woolley

The forex markets are open 24 hours a day between Monday and Friday which means that anyone in the world can conveniently trade at some point during the day. However, some times are more volatile and profitable than others.

The most volatile period of the day is between 1.30 and 4.30pm UK time which is around the time that US traders start trading the markets. More significant is the fact that a lot of economic data releases are announced during this period, which can cause dramatic swings and increased volatility in the currency markets, particularly the dollar-related pairs.

However although volatility is good to an extent, it’’s not necessarily the best time to trade because these announcements can cause wild and unpredictable swings which generally does not equate to profits. The resulting move in the more significant of the data releases will often counteract conventional technical analysis as well making it extremely difficult to make any profits.

The only people to benefit from trading during this period are the tiny minority of news traders who are capable of benefiting from such swings.

For most of us the ideal time to trade is when you get large market moves and trends that are more predictable, conform well to technical analysis, and is during a time when there are no major economic news announcements scheduled.

Luckily such a period does exist and it is basically the start of the European trading session between 8.00 and 12.00 (or you could even say 6.00-12.00 because you often get strong moves from 6.00 onwards).

This is an excellent time to trade because it’’s the most heavily traded session, so you get decent sized moves, and it’’s generally free of any market-moving announcements so you can concentrate fully on technical analysis.

Unfortunately not everyone around the world can trade during this time due to time differences and the inconvenience of trading at an awkward time of the day, so for those people the next best time to trade is during the Asian session. The Yen related pairs in particular are the best pairs to trade during the Asian session, as you would imagine, as the other major pairs are extremely quiet during this time of the day.

So in conclusion, the best time of the day to trade the forex markets in my experience is the start of the European trading session where you get large swings and few market-moving announcements to contend with. If you”re trading the major currency pairs, you will find that the other times of the day are either too quiet or too volatile, unless you”re trading Yen pairs which move strongly during the Asian trading session.

About The Author

James Woolley runs a blog at http://theforexarticles.com where you can learn forex trading. You can also read his review of Avi Frister’’s Forex Trading Machine by visiting http://theforexarticles.com/forex-trading-machine-review

How to Manage Your Forex Trading Money For Maximum Profit

By Ian Armstrong

Before you begin to Forex trading, you need to learn the basics of money management first. One of the things you need to do is to decide how much money you can afford to lose on a single trade, but just as importantly, you need to have a system set up that you decide you”re going to follow when you do your trades.

One of the biggest mistakes beginning traders make is that they decide they”re going to try to gamble and try to win the jackpot, but that’’s not the way to make true money in Forex trading. Most important is that you make consistently profitable trades with an occasional loss.

It’’s true that some people do make money if they “gamble” in Forex trading, but most people don”t. If you truly want to be a successful Forex trader with a consistent profit set up, you”ll need to have a system in place that will make you consistent and regular profits, rather than exceptionally large ones on occasion. This way, you don”t have to simply depend on luck; you can actually depend on your own experience and a set protocol to help ensure profitability.

Just as with anything else, it’’s easier to lose money with Forex trading than it is to make it. For example, you can certainly gamble 50% of what you have set aside on a single trade; it’’s also true that you can lose that money. What happens, then, if you lose the other 50% on a next trade? When you gamble, you might often talk about a “winning streak” or “losing streak,” but you don”t want this as a Forex trader. You want to have consistent wins you garner yourself through a system you”ve set up, along with an occasional loss.

So instead of thinking like a gambler, think like the casino owner. Make sure that you win more often than you lose. How can you do this?

Trade with just a small percentage of what you have set aside for Forex trading. Let’’s say that you have starting capital of $10,000. You are going to come out much further ahead over the long run if you only risk 5% of that capital on every trade instead of 10%. Therefore, go for the smaller percentage per trade and simply make more trades. This means that even if you only come out ahead on 70% of your Forex trades, you”ll not only still make an overall profit, but your losses will be much more comfortable and will be much more readily absorbed. This also helps offset the fact that you may very well have 10 losing trades in a row before you have another winning one.

Take a look at the chart below to see how utilizing 5% of your bankroll instead of 10% of your bankroll per trade will affect you:

10 Percent of Bankroll:

Bank - Trade
$10,000 - $1,000
$9,000 - $900
$8,100 - $810
$7,290 - $729
$6,561 - $656
$5,905 - $591
$5,314 - $531
$4,783 - $478
$4,305 - $430
$3,874 - $387

5 Percent of Bankroll:

Bank - Trade
$10,000 - $500
$9,500 - $475
$9,025 - $451
$8,574 - $429
$8,145 - $407
$7,738 - $387
$7,351 - $368
$6,983 - $349
$6,634 - $332
$6,302 - $315

After 10 losing trades with 10% of your bankroll, you”ll have $3487 left in your account. However, with 5% risked per trade, you”ll have $5,987. This gives you a much greater cushion after each trade to bounce back. Assuming a 70% profitable trade versus 30% losing trade ratio, this means that you should expect to get 10 consecutive losing trades every 1024 trades.

If you risk no more than 5% of your bankroll at any one time, you should be able to ride out even significant losing streaks. In addition, if you choose, you can choose to trade with larger margins once your account amounts increase. This will help you post even greater profits (along with proportionately larger losses as well, of course, although overall your profits may significantly increase).

One note to make trades easier for you is that if 5% of your current bankroll happens to be an odd number, round down to the nearest convenient number, such as $600 instead of $613. This makes the math easier to keep track of.

About The Author

Ian Armstrong is an avid Forex enthusiast.

He strongly recommends the free beginner’’s guide to forex trading, available directly from http://www.ForexShortCuts.com